CNN data guru Harry Enten broke down the latest polling data surrounding abortion and the 2024 presidential election with anchor John Berman this week.

“Let’s take a look at states that will or may have an abortion measure on the ballot,” Enten began, adding:

In Arizona, 59% believe that abortion should be always or mostly legal. In Nevada, two-thirds, 66%. Now in Florida, where all the news is developing this morning, 57% of registered voters say that in fact, abortion should be legal up to 24 weeks. Now, why is that 57% important? Because in Florida, in order for a ballot measure to pass, you need 60% of the vote. So even though the majority here believe that abortion should be legal up to 24 weeks, the fact is that may not be enough to enshrine abortion rights in the state of Florida, because, again, you need at least 60% of the vote to do so.

“If you are the Biden campaign looking at these numbers in important states for them on the map, Arizona and Nevada, what do you see?” Berman followed up.

“Yeah, you love the fact that abortion is in the news because would Biden or Trump do a better job? This is nationally, look at abortion. Biden leads on this measure by 14 points. It’s by far his best issue,” Enten replied, adding:

The economy, Trump leads. Immigration, Trump leads, foreign conflicts, Trump leads. And even on preserving democracy, which is obviously been a focal point of the Joe Biden campaign. He only leads on issue by this issue by four points. So abortion being in the news is something that Joe Biden wants, because it’s the issue that he runs most ahead of Donald Trump on.

“What do the polls now say about how important the abortion issue could be in voting?” Berman asked.

“Yeah. So all right. You see this 14-point lead for Joe Biden. But will abortion be important for votes, for folks in their voting patterns? So in our new CNN poll, how does abortion affect your vote for major offices? Candidates must share your views? Only 23%, John. Only 23% of Americans say that candidates must share your views on abortion. So even if they agree with Joe Biden, it doesn’t necessarily mean they vote for him. And more than that, John, when we look at the top issues, the nation’s most urgent issues, look where abortion is on this list. It’s all the way down at 5%. The issues that are at the top of this list are immigration and the economy, which of course are Donald Trump’s best issues,” Enten explained, offering some bad news for Biden’s reelection hopes.

Berman concluded the segment, saying, “Democrats are convinced that abortion did help them do well in the 2022 midterm elections. It’s interesting to see if maybe something’s not showing up in the polling, but right now it’s not showing up as a driving issue.”

Watch above via CNN.

The post ‘Not a Driving Issue’: CNN Data Guru Pours Cold Water All Over the Idea Abortion Will Help Biden Win Reelection first appeared on Mediaite.

from Mediaite https://ift.tt/sMPJDS9